Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.245169 3.602098 3.988735 4.439770 4.952855 5.519949 6.196348
2025-05-11 2.742224 3.223196 3.781093 4.480263 5.338908 6.366522 7.700752
2025-05-18 2.418795 2.964357 3.629907 4.510188 5.656735 7.117327 9.147739
2025-05-25 2.120999 2.683620 3.397118 4.381402 5.724654 7.524321 10.170831
2025-06-01 1.919250 2.495034 3.249839 4.329757 5.865104 8.016548 11.345634
2025-06-08 1.763986 2.348141 3.136559 4.301709 6.020342 8.529102 12.598345
2025-06-15 1.690179 2.302361 3.152501 4.449754 6.434961 9.455252 14.597167
2025-06-22 1.578006 2.191209 3.063320 4.430576 6.589620 9.993776 16.040037
2025-06-29 1.473097 2.081017 2.964372 4.383655 6.690186 10.448980 17.395507
2025-07-06 1.335908 1.912792 2.765299 4.161864 6.484058 10.370232 17.787866
2025-07-13 1.273264 1.851614 2.723120 4.183441 6.677785 10.985327 19.531141
2025-07-20 1.230539 1.817338 2.718968 4.264510 6.977344 11.815395 21.805857
2025-07-27 1.187945 1.781745 2.712149 4.344103 7.289299 12.718614 24.407962
2025-08-03 1.141343 1.736599 2.686448 4.388867 7.543096 13.544767 26.999305
2025-08-10 1.095924 1.690094 2.654620 4.419062 7.771306 14.347271 29.681964
2025-08-17 1.026133 1.599057 2.541576 4.293538 7.688450 14.511148 30.932082
2025-08-24 0.975424 1.536705 2.473070 4.243155 7.745755 14.969090 32.957388
2025-08-31 0.932572 1.485046 2.419518 4.215779 7.845212 15.527094 35.331925
2025-09-07 0.920081 1.484463 2.455325 4.360300 8.310359 16.946822 40.210796
2025-09-14 0.883500 1.439775 2.409147 4.341580 8.429896 17.598743 43.169802
2025-09-21 0.845546 1.390578 2.351682 4.295778 8.485983 18.108705 45.838393
2025-09-28 0.786276 1.300535 2.214146 4.079245 8.146805 17.629919 45.537615
2025-10-05 0.763117 1.274339 2.193906 4.100313 8.341223 18.484478 49.426086